Independent reporting for a healthier democracySeptember 24, 2026 · 7:58 a.m. ET
HealthPoliticsDailyArchive

WEATHER — HAWAII — Public-safety explainer

Tropical Storm Nolo Threatens Hawaii: What Residents and Travelers Should Check

Hawaii County is under a hurricane watch as Nolo strengthens south of the islands. The track remains uncertain, but dangerous rain can arrive well before the center’s closest approach.

By Health Politics Daily News Desk · Published Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 7:58 a.m. America/New_York · Approximately 7 minutes

Oil pumpjack operating in West Texas
A pumpjack in West Texas, illustrating the production side of the oil market. Eric Kounce / Wikimedia Commons · Public domain

Watch in this article

Pumpjack operating at the Kern River Oil Field

A short CC0 field video provides visual context for reporting on oil production and fuel supply.

Thomas Farley / Wikimedia Commons · CC0 1.0 · License and source
Graphic explaining the hurricane watch, rainfall forecast and uncertain track for Tropical Storm Nolo
What is confirmed—and what remains a forecast—as Nolo approaches. Health Politics Daily original graphic based on NOAA/NWS and Hawaiʻi Emergency Management Agency information.

Verified Baseline

A hurricane watch is in effect for Hawaii County

The National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center list Tropical Storm Nolo south of Hawaii and say it is expected to strengthen. A hurricane watch means hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area; it is not a statement that landfall is certain.

Hawaii officials say the Big Island could receive widespread rainfall of 15 to 20 inches, with isolated totals substantially higher in southeastern areas. The Hawaiʻi Emergency Management Agency warns that catastrophic flooding and life-threatening landslides are possible, especially in steep terrain.

Why Rain Is the Immediate Risk

Flooding does not depend on the eye crossing land

Tropical cyclones can push long bands of moisture over mountainous islands while their centers remain offshore. On the Big Island, steep slopes can accelerate runoff, isolate roads and trigger debris flows. Residents should not use the forecast center line as a boundary between safety and danger.

Maui also faces a significant rain threat. Forecast totals are ranges, not guarantees at a specific home; terrain, band placement and the storm’s speed can produce sharp local differences.

Practical Implications

Finish outside preparation before winds make it unsafe

People in the watch area should follow county alerts, identify their nearest shelter, charge communication devices, secure loose outdoor objects and avoid crossing flooded roads. Those who rely on medication, powered medical equipment or refrigerated supplies should review backup plans early.

Travelers should check directly with airlines, hotels and inter-island carriers. A flight that remains scheduled can still be delayed, and road access to an airport may be affected independently of airport operations.

What Remains Uncertain

Intensity and the exact turn near the Big Island can still change

Forecasts show Nolo strengthening and then turning near Hawaii, but small changes in timing and direction could substantially change wind and surf effects. Hurricane-hunter observations and later advisories may narrow that uncertainty.

A projected major hurricane is a forecast category, not a measured current intensity. Readers should use the time-stamped official advisory rather than screenshots or older social posts.

What to Check Next

Use the newest official alert for your island and district

Check the National Weather Service Honolulu office for watches and warnings, Hawaiʻi Emergency Management for statewide instructions and county civil-defense channels for shelters, closures and evacuation information. A watch can be upgraded, changed or canceled as new observations arrive.

This article reports public information and does not replace an evacuation order or local emergency instruction.

Bias Lens: covering Tropical Storm Nolo

Verified baseline

Hawaii County is under a hurricane watch. Officials forecast potentially extreme rainfall, while Nolo’s exact track and eventual intensity remain uncertain.

Weather coverage is less ideologically divided than political coverage. Climate-focused outlets may emphasize resilience and repeated storm exposure; CBS News emphasizes the official watch and forecast evolution; Fox Weather emphasizes the unusual potential for a close major-hurricane approach. These are framing choices; the official NOAA/NWS alert is the shared factual baseline.

Principal Sources

Evidence and reporting used

No suitable directly relevant authorized video with clear embedding permission was available.